Credit Condition, Inflation and Unemployment-厦门大学金融系

Credit Condition, Inflation and Unemployment
主讲人 Chao Gu 简介 <p><span style="font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;">We study the effects of the firm&rsquo;s credit condition on labor market performance and the relationship between expected inflation and unemployment in a new monetarist model. Better credit condition has a positive impact on the labor market as firms save on financing cost, improve profitability, and create more vacancies. Inflation affects unemployment through two opposing channels. First, inflation increases the firm&rsquo;s financing cost, which discourages job creation and increases unemployment. Second, inflation lowers wages because unemployed workers carry higher real balances and suffer more from inflation compared to employed workers. This encourages job creation. The overall effect of inflation on employment can be positive or negative and depends crucially on the firm&rsquo;s credit condition. We calibrate the model to match U.S. data before the great recession. The calibrated model suggests a small welfare cost of inflation and a downward-sloping Phillips curve with a flexible wage setting. We find that the firm&rsquo;s credit condition is as important as the nominal interest rate to understand the unemployment movement.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
时间 2023-03-10 (Friday) 10:00-11:30 地点 Room N302, Economics Building
讲座语言 English 主办单位 Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University
承办单位 Center for Macroeconomic Research at Xiamen University 类型 系列讲座
联系人信息 主持人 Jianpo Xue
专题网站 专题
主讲人简介 <p><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;">Dr. Chao Gu is the Professor of Economics at University of Missouri. She obtained her PhD in Economics from Cornell University in 2007. Her research interests include macroeconomics,&nbsp;</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;">monetary economics, banking, and economic theory. She published papers in the top journals as <i>Econometrica, Journal of Political Economy, Review of Economic Studies, International Economic Review, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Economic Theory, Review of Economic Dynamics</i>, etc.</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;, serif;"><o:p></o:p></span></p> 期数 “宏观与发展经济学前沿讲座”第3期
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