Bayesian analysis of Spatial Panel Autoregressive Models with time-varying Endogenous Spatial Weights Matrices and Common Factors-厦门大学金融系

Bayesian analysis of Spatial Panel Autoregressive Models with time-varying Endogenous Spatial Weights Matrices and Common Factors
主讲人 韩晓祎助理教授 简介 <p>Abstract:&nbsp;This paper examines the specification and estimation of spatial panel autoregressive (SAR) models with dynamic,time-varying endogenous spatial weights matrices and common factors. &nbsp;Motivated &nbsp;by the spillover effects of &nbsp;state &nbsp;Medicaid &nbsp;spending &nbsp;on &nbsp;welfare &nbsp;programs, &nbsp;we &nbsp;combine &nbsp;the &nbsp;features &nbsp;of &nbsp;endogenous time-varying &nbsp; weights &nbsp;matrices &nbsp;and &nbsp;common &nbsp;factors &nbsp;for &nbsp;the &nbsp;first &nbsp;time &nbsp;in &nbsp;the &nbsp;SAR &nbsp;panel &nbsp;models. &nbsp;In this particular &nbsp;application, &nbsp;endogeneity of the spatial weights matrices &nbsp;comes &nbsp;from the correlation of &ldquo;economic distance&rdquo; and the disturbances in the SAR equation. &nbsp;Common &nbsp;factors &nbsp;are introduced to control for common shocks to all states &nbsp;and &nbsp;factor &nbsp;loadings &nbsp;may &nbsp;capture &nbsp;heterogeneity in states&rsquo; responses. For the estimation, the Bayesian MCMC method is &nbsp;developed. &nbsp;Identification &nbsp;of factors and factor loadings, and the corresponding model &nbsp;selection &nbsp;issues &nbsp;based upon &nbsp; the Bayes factor and the deviance information criterion (DIC) &nbsp;are &nbsp;also &nbsp;explored. &nbsp; &nbsp;</p> <p>&nbsp;</p>
时间 2015-03-18(星期三)16:40-18:00 地点 N303 经济楼/Economics Building
讲座语言 English 主办单位 王亚南经济研究院、经济学院
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主讲人简介 <p><span style="line-height: 21px; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;">Assistant Professor in WISE</span></p> <p>Homepage:&nbsp;<a href="http://hanxiaoyi.weebly.com/">hanxiaoyi.weebly.com/</a></p> 期数 “WISE-SOE双周青年论坛”2015年春季学期第一期(总第50讲)
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