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Jilin Wu, Ruike Wu,​ Zhijie Xiao: Adaptive LAD-Based Bootstrap Unit Root Tests under Unconditional Heteroskedasticity

栏目:论文发表 发布人: 发布时间: 2026年06月05日 16:18 点击数:

发表期刊:Journal of Business & Economic Statistics

发表时间:June 2026

作者及单位: Jilin Wu (Center for Macroeconomic Research, School of Economics, MOE Key Lab of Econometrics, Xiamen University), Ruike Wu*, Zhijie Xiao

摘要:This paper studies unit root testing based on least absolute deviations (LAD) regression under unconditional heteroscedasticity. We first derive asymptotic properties of the LAD estimator under both unit root and local-to-unity settings in the presence of unconditional heteroscedasticity and weak dependence. The results show that the limiting distribution of the LAD estimator (and thus the derived test statistics) is closely associated with unknown heteroscedasticity. To conduct feasible LAD-based unit root tests, we propose a novel adaptive block bootstrap procedure, which accommodates unconditional heteroscedasticity and serial dependence, both of which exhibit unknown forms, to compute critical values. The asymptotic validity of the proposed bootstrap method is established. Furthermore, we extend the testing procedure to incorporate deterministic components, such as a constant term or a linear trend. Simulation results show that, in the presence of unconditional heteroscedasticity and serial dependence, the proposed tests exhibit reasonable size control, whereas the classic LAD/quantile-based tests developed under homoscedasticity exhibit severe size distortion. Additionally, compared to existing least squares based tests, our new tests show superior testing power when the data are heavy-tailed. Finally, empirical analysis based on unemployment rates is conducted to illustrate the applicability of the new tests.

关键词:Adaptive block bootstrap; Least absolute deviations; Unconditional heteroscedasticity; Unit root test

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